

The November 2024 ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah is collapsing. July 2025 saw a surge in Israeli airstrikes and ground operations deep inside Lebanon, while Hezbollah quietly rebuilt its southern arsenal, defying disarmament terms. Over 215 Lebanese have been killed and thousands of violations logged. U.S. diplomatic efforts failed to secure a compromise: Israel refuses to withdraw without guarantees, and Hezbollah rejects disarmament as surrender. With diplomacy stalled and violence escalating, Lebanon stands on the edge of a full-scale conflict cloaked in ceasefire rhetoric.
By Taline Nohra, Clara Daaboul